With a 13-2 record that ties Detroit for first place in the NFC North, the Vikings have been virtually unbeatable this season. Minnesota still has a chance to win the division and be the first seed in the NFC if it completes the sweep of Green Bay.
Given Minnesota’s -112 moneyline odds and the fact that it is favored by just a -1.5 spread at FanDuel Sportsbook and other major PA sportsbooks, this game should be fantastic, and bookies anticipate it to be a coin flip. Because of this, player-prop betting may be a more lucrative option.
Best prop bets for Packers vs. Vikings in NFL Week 17
FanDuel: Josh Jacobs under 72.5 running yards (-113)
FanDuel: Aaron Jones anytime touchdown (-135)
Over 49.5 receiving yards (-115) for Jayden Reed – BetMGM
More than 58.5 receiving yards for Jordan Addison (-113) Caesars
DraftKings: Jordan Love has more than 248.5 throwing yards.
Bet365: Sam Darnold surpasses 11.5 rushing yards (-110)
Josh Jacobs under 72.5 rushing yards (-113)
FanDuel Sportsbook is where
Why: Jacobs averages 81.1 yards per game and ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing (1,216). However, in three of Green Bay’s last four games, including Monday night’s 13-carry, 69-yard effort in the Packers’ 34-0 thumping of New Orleans, he has been restricted to less than 70 rushing yards.
With 87.1 running yards allowed per game, the Vikings are among the NFL’s most stingy teams against the run, second only to the Baltimore Ravens. In terms of running touchdowns against (7), they are tied for the NFL lead.
In the first encounter between the two teams, Jacobs only managed nine attempts and 51 rushing yards. If you believe that this game will be a shootout between two outstanding quarterbacks, Jacobs probably won’t even reach 65 yards on the ground, much less 72.
Aaron Jones anytime touchdown (-135)
FanDuel Sportsbook is where
Why: Jones ranks third on the club in all-purpose touchdowns (7), behind Jordan Addison (8) and Justin Jefferson (9) and leads the Vikings in running touchdowns (5). Jones has scored five touchdowns at U.S. Bank Stadium this season and has scored in three of Minnesota’s last five games.
Given that Jones played his first seven seasons in Green Bay and failed to score in the team’s first meeting, this is a game of vengeance. In the first encounter between the two teams, Addison vultured a rushing touchdown from Jones on an end-around, but Jones also has two receiving touchdowns.
Since no other Vikings player has more than one rushing touchdown this season and the Packers are only giving up 0.8 rushing touchdowns per game, Jones is the obvious choice for a rushing touchdown.
Jayden Reed over 49.5 receiving yards (-115)
Where: Sportsbook BetMGM
Why: Since he leads the Packers in targets (69), catches (52), and yards (803), Reed has become Green Bay’s top receiver. In their first meeting, he had the game of his life, recording seven catches for 139 yards and a touchdown. He is currently averaging 53.5 receiving yards per game.
In seven of his last ten games, Reed has not been able to top this prop. However, in order for Green Bay to stay in the game, Reed and tight end Tucker Kraft will probably need to have strong games against Minnesota’s formidable run defense.
Compared to rival books, which placed the Over/Under at roughly 53.5, Minnesota is allowing the second-most receiving yards in the NFL (269.5). On a major passing day, the weather within the dome will be favorable. This might be topped by halftime by Reed.
Jordan Addison over 58.5 receiving yards (-113)
For example, Caesars Sportsbook
Why: Because of Justin Jefferson, Addison is a clear No. 1 receiver who is ranked No. 2. In five of his last six games, he has over 50 receiving yards, and in the team’s opening game, he got 72 yards on just three catches.
Despite ranking 16th in the NFL in terms of receiving yards per game (228.9), Green Bay will be busy with Jones, Jefferson, Addison, and tight end T.J. Hockenson.
We can advise taking Jefferson’s receiving prop, which is inside an 87.5-yard range. However, his prop has a lower bar to clear because Addison averages 62 yards and six targets every game.
Jordan Love over 248.5 passing yards
Where: Sportsbook DraftKings
Why: Although Love did not exert much effort against the Saints on Monday night, Green Bay’s well-balanced attack faces a special task from the Vikings. Luckily, in two of his three career starts versus Minnesota, Love has amassed at least 250 throwing yards, burning up their defense.
Green Bay posted a career-high for completions (32), attempts (54), and passing yards (389) in its two-point loss because they fell behind the game script in their first encounter. Love could have to win the game himself because Jacobs might run into the Minnesota run defense, which is like a brick wall.
Furthermore, given Minnesota’s weak pass defense and the fact that Love has surpassed 245 passing yards in six of his 13 starts this season, this is not a difficult standard to meet.
Sam Darnold over 11.5 rushing yards (-110)
Where: Sportsbook Bet365
Why? Because of his famed mobility while extending plays in college, Darnold has found success as a freelancer in Minnesota. With his five-carry, 11-yard performance against the Seahawks on Sunday, he has at least 11 rushing yards in nine of his 15 starts.
Darnold already has 205 rushing yards and a career-high 61 rushing attempts. He is just eighteen yards away from surpassing the record he set in 2021 with the Carolina Panthers for the most rushing yards in a single season. In the team’s opening game of the season, he had seven carries for 15 rushing yards.
Darnold is second on the club in attempts (61) and third in yards, behind Jones and Cam Akers, while Green Bay is giving up 102.5 rushing yards per game. With Jones rushing prop set at 65.5, and Akers at 15.5 yards, Darnold posting about 15 rushing yards seems not only possible but likely.
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