In Week 4 of Thursday Night Football, the Dallas Cowboys will play the New York Giants in an attempt to keep themselves from taking sole ownership of last place in the NFC East.
Dallas is tied with the Giants in the bottom at 1-2 and has lost two in a row, both at home. A week after losing 44-19 to the New Orleans Saints, the Cowboys suffered a 28-25 loss against the Baltimore Ravens at AT&T Stadium.
The Giants defeated the Cleveland Browns 21-15 on the road after overcoming a 0–2 start. New York will attempt to avoid dropping to 0-2 in divisional play after losing by a slim margin to the better-than-advertised Washington Commanders, 21-18, the week before.
Before kickoff and during the game, you may wager on every moment of the action at the top Pennsylvania online sportsbooks.
Not so Big D
The star-studded In football, cowboys are among the most well-known teams, particularly when it comes to defense. Trevon Diggs is perhaps the best cornerback in the NFL, and Micah Parsons, the preseason favorite for Defensive Player of the Year, is bookended on the Dallas D-line by fellow game-destroying player DeMarcus Lawrence.
But the Cowboys defense, which ranks 30th in the NFL in points-against per game (29.7), has been letting up points at an alarming rate. Dallas’ terrible run defense, which has given up eight rushing touchdowns in three games—by far the most in the NFL—and the most yards per game (185.7) are the main causes of their incapacity to keep opponents off the scoreboard.
The Giants haven’t been very at running the ball this season, which is fortunate for the Cowboys. Devin Singletary is New York’s replacement for the recently retired running back Saquon Barkley, who leads the team in rushing yards per game (105.0), ranking 19th in football (197).
However, the Giants will be able to play-action pass to rookie breakout receiver Malik Nabers, who leads an underappreciated receiving corps, if they can establish Singletary and quarterback Daniel Jones (67 rushing yards) in the run game.
Dallas, on the other hand, is top in passing yards per game (269.7) and 30th in rushing attempts (62). They don’t run the ball at all. With a revitalized pass rush led by Kayvon Thibodeaux, Brian Burns, and Azeez Ojulari, the Giants, who rank second in the league in sacks (14) should disrupt the Cowboys’ passing offense.
The team’s betting odds to win the Super Bowl have dropped to +2200 at Fanatics Sportsbook as a result of their early season difficulties.
Cowboys vs. Giants odds
Due to their ownership of the Giants over the last ten years and their perceived supremacy, the Cowboys are a -4.5-point favorite with -220 moneyline odds.
Dallas has won five of its last seven games at MetLife Stadium and covered at least five points in each of its six victories during the previous three seasons. At the current number (45) published at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Over has hit in three of the last seven games in the series.
Even though the Giants don’t play well against the Cowboys, they still have a chance to win. Given that Jones has a career average of 31.4 yards per game on the ground and Singletary has been playing well as New York’s featured back, the team could run the ball against Dallas.
Nevertheless, it’s difficult to imagine the Cowboys dropping to 1-3, particularly against a club they have dominated for the last ten years.
A Giant problem
Particularly at MetLife Stadium, Dallas has recently dominated this series. The Cowboys have won 13 of 14 head-to-head games since 2017, including their 40-0 season-opening victory in East Rutherford last September.
Throughout his career, Jones has performed particularly poorly against Dallas. Dallas defense have sacked him 24 times, and he is only 1-7 with a 58.8 completion percentage and a 4-5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. In their 49-17 victory in Dallas last season, the Cowboys also tallied five sacks against backup Tommy DeVito.
With odds of -275, BetMGM Sportsbook has Jones Over/Under on passing touchdowns down at 0.5.
Prescott, on the other hand, has owned the Giants. In his 14 career starts versus the Giants, he has a 24-8 TD-to-INT ratio, a 100.9 passer rating, and a 12-2 career record against New York. Since his first game there, a 10-7 loss on December 11, 2016, Prescott has a 5-1 record versus the Giants in East Rutherford and has not lost to his division opponents.
Cowboys vs. Giants betting
Consider Prescott’s passing-attempts prop (Over 35.5), completions prop (23.5), and passing-yards prop (261.5) if you want to boost the ante on a same-game parlay for Thursday night’s matchup. CeeDee Lamb, his top receiver, has a receiving-yards prop of 80.5 since New York lacks a lockdown cornerback to restrict Lamb.
Since Singletary has topped that total in back-to-back games, his rushing attempts Over (14.5, -106) at FanDuel Sportsbook is worth a look. The Giants would be smart to run the ball with him.
Jones has thrown an interception in each of his career home starts against the Cowboys, despite playing clean games against the Browns and Commanders in a row. His INT prop (Over 0.5, -130) is therefore a must-take if you’re betting on same-game parlays.
Cowboys vs. Giants score prediction
To be honest, it’s fascinating to think of the Giants upsetting the Cowboys by running whenever they want. Given that Dallas has allowed 10 sacks this season and only throws on offense, there is a tiny part of me that thinks Burns and Thibodeaux will ruin the game.
Actually, Brian Burns has +120 odds to record at least one sack on Thursday night according to Caesars Sportsbook.
The New York defense thrives on the likelihood that the Giants fans will be as boisterous for this game as they will be for any other during the season. The Cowboys are kept off rhythm and puzzled by plays like Thibodeaux’s sack-strip fumble or Prescott’s uncommon pick.
Even so, the New York attack will never move the ball or score enough points to send Dallas home with a defeat. The Cowboys will also be in a difficult situation. Even though it can be close, Dallas can hardly lose. In Week 4, subtract the points from the point spread.