When the Detroit Lions (11-1, 9-4 ATS) play the Buffalo Bills (10-3, 8-5 ATS) on Sunday afternoon, it could be the NFL’s most anticipated showdown of Week 15. Given how different both teams are from the other contenders in their conferences, this may very well be a Super Bowl preview in the Motor City.
The Lions enter this game on an 11-game winning run that leads the league. Detroit has the second-best scoring defense in the NFL (18.0 points per game) and the league’s top scoring offense (32.1 points per game). Three of their previous five victories have come by a margin of three points, and they have recently played a number of close games.
The Bills, on the other hand, come off a lackluster showing in Los Angeles last week. The Rams offense scored 44 points, and the defense found it difficult to stop them. Buffalo did put up a fierce second-half comeback, scoring 21 points in the fourth quarter. Josh Allen’s six touchdowns—three rushing and three passing—left his mark on the MVP contest. For the seventh straight game, the Bills have scored at least thirty points.
Detroit is the slight favorite to win this match, according to the top sportsbooks in Pennsylvania. There are several good ways to play this game on Sunday if you’re looking to place Anytime Touchdown prop bets.
David Montgomery anytime TD (-160)
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Why: This season, David Montgomery has been among the NFL’s most effective running backs. He set a career best with the Lions last season, and his next rushing touchdown will tie that record. As Week 15 approaches, Montgomery leads the NFL in rushing touchdowns (12).
In 10 of his 13 games this season, including four of his last five, Montgomery has scored more than 0.5 touchdowns at any time. In six of Detroit’s seven home games this season, he has also scored a rushing touchdown.
This season, Buffalo’s defense has been strong against the run, but that’s usually because teams are falling behind the Bills and need to pass to catch up. The Bills have given up four rushing touchdowns in the past two games, while only allowing 0.8 rushing touchdowns per game, which is seventh-best.
This season, the Bills have given up 13 running back touchdowns, so Montogmery ought to get some opportunities.
Now wager: David Montgomery at any time TD-160
Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD (-138)
Where: Sportsbook Bet365
Why: Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit’s other running back, has also had a very successful season with the Lions. Gibbs is still Detroit’s third-down back and has consistently performed well in that position, even if he hasn’t been the RB1 for the ground game. His 12 receiving and rushing touchdowns this season tie him for sixth-most of any player.
Gibbs has exceeded his anytime touchdown prop bet in three of his last four games and six of his last eight going into this Week 15 matchup. He has scored in five of the seven games played at Ford Field this season, demonstrating his exceptional effectiveness at home.
Although they may be beaten on the ground, the Bills’ defense has been among the best in the league. With an average of 4.7 running yards per tote this season, Buffalo’s defense is 26th in the league in terms of opponent yards per carry. The Bills have had trouble containing Gibbs’ skill as a pass catcher out of the backfield this season.
The Bills have given up five receiving touchdowns to running backs this season, and Gibbs has three career receiving touchdowns going into this game.
Place your bet now: Jahmyr Gibbs at any time TD -138
James Cook anytime TD (+100)
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Why: On one of the most effective attacks in the league, James Cook has been one of the most dependable skill position weapons. Cook is tied for seventh place in that category with 11 running touchdowns this season. Together, Cook, Gibbs, and Montgomery—the game’s three main backs—have scored 12 touchdowns, including his lone receiving touchdown.
Although Buffalo’s offense was dominated by Josh Allen last week, Cook has been effective all season long. In six of his last eight games, he has scored more than 0.5 touchdowns at any time. Additionally, he has scored in four of six away games from Western New York, demonstrating his effectiveness on the road.
Despite having one of the best scoring defenses in the league, the Lions have given up 10 rushing touchdowns to running backs this season. Last week, Detroit failed to contain Green Bay’s Josh Jacobs, giving up three rushing scores to the standout running back.
Despite his performance last week, Cook has been a consistent presence in the passing game. Because of the Lions’ intense pressure, Allen might try check-downs more frequently, which would give Cook more chances in this one.
James Cook anytime TD +100 is yours to wager now.
Josh Allen anytime TD (+120)
Where: Sportsbook Bet365
Why: Josh Allen’s six-touchdown rampage against the Los Angeles Rams was one of the most outstanding quarterback performances in a long time. He set a season-high in both rushing yards (82) and rushing touchdowns (3) with his impressive performance against LA’s defense, which seemed to be at its worst. In the same game, he became the first player in league history to dash for three scores and throw for three touchdowns.
The MVP candidate has scored a rushing touchdown in four straight games, which has made bettors at Pennsylvania’s best sportsbooks quite happy lately. Allen is actually very close to breaking the quarterbacks’ single-season rushing touchdown record set by him and Jalen Hurts last season (15), with nine rushing touchdowns.
The Lions’ low number of enemy quarterback rushing touchdowns (2) can be attributed to the fact that they haven’t faced many quarterbacks who are extremely mobile. Due to Detroit’s third-highest rate of blitzing this season, which puts pressure on opposing quarterbacks, Allen might have to use his legs even more frequently.
Allen has scored in five of his past eight games going into this match, including four straight.
Now bet: Josh Allen at any time TD +120
Amari Cooper anytime TD (+200)
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Why: Although the Bills’ purchase of Amari Cooper appeared to be a blockbuster, the seasoned wide receiver has struggled to establish himself in this potent system. Nevertheless, he led the club in catches and targets during last week’s spectacular effort against the Rams. The receiver’s breakthrough performance may be hinted at by this renewed emphasis on Cooper.
Cooper has only exceeded his anytime TD prop twice this season, with just three receiving touchdowns, two of which came in a single game. Cooper’s output hasn’t been steady, but he’s up against a Lions secondary that has had trouble stopping opposing passing attacks.
The Lions are ranked 27th in terms of opposition passing attempts per game (35.0) and 23rd in terms of opposing passing yards per game (224.7). Josh Allen has a solid chance of finding Cooper uncovered in this one if he is let to throw the ball all over Ford Field.
Three of the nine receiving touchdowns Detroit has given up to wideouts this season have occurred in the past two weeks.
Put your money on Amari Cooper at any moment TD +200.
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