The NFL season is in its fourteenth week, and the postseason picture is beginning to take shape.
The Detroit Lions defeated the Green Bay Packers 34–31 to start the week.
The last week of bye weeks is also week 14. This week’s absentees are the Indianapolis Colts, Denver Broncos, Houston Texans, Washington Commanders, Baltimore Ravens, and New England Patriots.
I would think about placing a wager on the five anytime touchdown prop bets listed below.
I’ve set this up so that I’ll begin with bets with minus odds and work my way up to ones with a longer probability of hitting but still a respectable chance.
Let’s get started.
Saquon Barkley anytime TD (-275)
Where: Sportsbook Bet365
Why: I can’t remember ever seeing a player score a touchdown at -275, but here we are. This value is absurdly low, but it’s also very likely. With eleven running TDs, Barkley is tied for third place in the league and leads in rushing yards. The Carolina Panthers, who have the poorest run defense in the league at 166.8 yards per game, will be his opponent this week. Additionally, they’re letting the position score several running touchdowns every game. Here, Barkley will score.
You can wager on Saquon Barkley at any time TD (-275).
Justin Jefferson anytime TD (-105)
Where: Sportsbook DraftKings
Why: Jefferson is my choice for the second and last negative odds anytime touchdown prop. At -105, there is still a lot of value. This year, he has only scored five goals. In six games, he has failed to score. Nevertheless, he will go up against a Falcons defense that gives up 13.5 wide receiver grabs for 151.58 yards and 1.25 touchdowns every week. In the past four games, they have allowed six touchdowns. Even though Jefferson hasn’t scored in the past six games, he has averaged about eight targets, six catches, and 85 yards during that time.
He has a great chance to snap his touchdown drought in this game.
Right now, wager on Justin Jefferson at any time TD (-105).
Tee Higgins anytime TD (+130)
FanDuel Sportsbook is where
Why: Higgins can score at +130 at FanDuel, one of the top bookmakers in Pennsylvania. I’ll take a chance on Higgins with the better odds, even though fellow wide receiver Ja Marr Chase is -160. He has double-digit goals in each of his most recent games and has scored in three consecutive games. Every game, the Dallas Cowboys defense lets the opposition wide receivers catch 12 passes for 148 yards and almost one score. DaRon Bland and Josh Butler, the Cowboys’ starting cornerbacks, haven’t played much this season, though. They have combined for 182 coverage snaps and have given up 24 catches on 32 targets (75% reception rate).
Joe Burrow, the quarterback for the Bengals, tops the league in both throwing touchdowns and yards. If Higgins and Chase both score here, don’t be surprised.
Place your wager now: Tee Higgins at any time TD (+130).
Will Dissly anytime TD (+400)
For example, Caesars Sportsbook
Why: All right, let’s get started. launching oneself into the deep end. This week, the Los Angeles Chargers will play the Kansas City Chiefs. Despite having a decent defense, the Chiefs have strangely struggled against tight ends this season. Each game, they give up about seven catches for 79 yards. This season, including last week, they have only given up four touchdowns to the position.
Last week, Dissly didn’t have a catch, but that was during a strange game against the Falcons where the Chargers had four picks and passing the ball wasn’t really necessary.
He had at least six targets in four of the previous six games. Even though he has only scored one touchdown this season, the Chiefs provide the position a lot of producing opportunities.
I’ll risk that production, which will lead to a touchdown, at +400.
Place your wager now: Will Dissly at any time TD (+400).
Steelers D/ST anytime TD (+500)
Where: Sportsbook BetMGM
Why: Lastly, let’s wager on the Steelers defense or special teams to score at +500.
This week, guess who they’re playing? The Browns of Cleveland.
Like he did against the Denver Broncos last week, Browns quarterback Jameis Winston can go off at any moment for 400 yards or more and several touchdowns, but he also threw three interceptions and two pick-sixes.
This season, he has made five starts and recorded seven interceptions. In their last meeting, the Steelers picked Winston off once in Week 12 and averaging 1.08 interceptions per game.
With 13 interceptions this season, the Steelers are tied for fourth place, and their plus-15 turnover differential is the second-best in the league.
I’ll take a gamble at +500 because of how many turnovers they produce when playing a player who is well-known for his ability to cause turnovers.
Put your money down now: Steelers D/ST anytime TD (+500)
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