It has become a two-team race in what was supposed to be the NFL’s deepest division.
Originally slated to finish last in the AFC North, the Steelers are now well on their approach to winning the division and securing a postseason berth.
Cleveland, however, has only won three of its 12 games this season, which is a terrible start.
But in a few divisional games this season, such as their most recent victory at home against Pittsburgh, the Browns have played spoiler. Which players will rise up to make it happen if they are able to repeat it?
The Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers AFC North game has our top anytime TD props listed below.
Pittsburgh Defense/Special Teams Anytime TD (+500)
Where: Sportsbook BetMGM
Why: This one is not as unlikely as it first appears.
Due to their outstanding pass rushing unit (highest-rated, per PFF), which is anchored by TJ Watt and veteran Cameron Heyward, and their incredibly strong run defense (fourth-highest graded and fourth-fewest opponent rushing yards per game), the Steelers defense has been outstanding throughout the season.
Teams lacking strong offensive lines will unavoidably find it difficult to give their quarterback enough time to make the proper reads and throws, even though Pittsburgh’s secondary has been reasonably exploitable.
In this instance, Cleveland has the fifth-worst pass block unit in the NFL (PFF) going into this divisional game versus Pittsburgh.
This will be a difficult game against a club that doesn’t even need to blitz to put pressure on almost every play, since the Browns have the third-worst quarterback sack rate in the league.
With Jameis Winston throwing for just under 500 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions on an absurd 58 passing attempts last week, it felt like a throwback to 2019.
Two pick-sixes came from those interceptions.
Winston has the fifth-worst turnover-worthy play percentage (PFF) of the season, which is not surprising.
Winston will probably play hero ball once more because Cleveland has no chance of rushing the ball well against this Pittsburgh defense.
Due to their strength (and Cleveland’s lack of it) in the trenches, the Steelers defense should get to Winston frequently, creating a number of fumble and interception opportunities.
Bet Now: Anytime TD (+500, BetMGM) Pittsburgh Defense/Special Teams
Najee Harris Anytime TD (-125)
Where: Sportsbook DraftKings
Why: Despite having the league’s second-best run defense grade, Cleveland’s defense has been a little weak away from home.
Actually, this season, the Browns have given up the second-highest number of rushing yards per game and the second-highest number of rushing touchdowns to opponents (155.0) when they are traveling.
In their last three games, which included games against the Broncos, Saints, and Steelers, they have also allowed opponents to score two running touchdowns on average.
The day should be great for Pittsburgh’s running backs, particularly Najee Harris, who should wear out the Browns’ front line and score a touchdown.
Harris, who averages just under 4.5 yards per carry on about 18 rushing attempts per game, has scored in four of his last seven games.
Place Your Bet Now: Najee Harris Anytime TD (DraftKings, -125)
Calvin Austin III Anytime TD (+310)
Where: Sportsbook BetMGM
Why: Russell Wilson’s passing volume has grown as he has been more at ease in the scheme and with his new colleagues.
Wilson, for instance, has averaged about 33 passing attempts each game over the last four games.
Additionally, Wilson has thrown for nearly two touchdowns per game on 271 passing yards during this recent four-game streak, which is a respectable total for a club that has always relied heavily on running since Big Ben retired.
Additionally, Wilson and wide receiver Calvin Austin III have gotten along well over that time.
Austin has scored in three of his last five games and even returned a punt for a touchdown, despite the fact that he isn’t winning anyone’s fantasy leagues in a PPR environment.
Given that the Browns secondary is ranked 24th in terms of opponent wide receiver DFS points per game, Austin is a really great value at +310.
Calvin Austin III Anytime TD (+310, BetMGM) is the current betting option.
Note: Every piece of content is rigorously reviewed by our team of experienced writers and editors to ensure its accuracy. Our writers use credible sources and adhere to strict fact-checking protocols to verify all claims and data before publication. If an error is identified, we promptly correct it and strive for transparency in all updates, feel free to reach out to us via email. We appreciate your trust and support!