The Kansas City Chiefs (10-1) are typically the target of possible retaliation games, but their matchup with the Las Vegas Raiders (2-9) on Black Friday is an uncommon exception.
On Christmas Day 2023, the Raiders handed the Chiefs their most recent home loss, 20–14. The Buffalo Bills halted Kansas City’s winning streak on November 17 after the team won its next 15 games, including Super Bowl LVIII.
In their first full season under coach Antonio Pierce, the Raiders are in last place in the AFC West, but they will go into the game as a double-digit underdog, something Kansas City has infamously struggled to cover. In Week 12, the Chiefs faced the Carolina Panthers and nearly prevailed, winning 30-27 on the road in Charlotte despite being a 10.5-point favorite.
Betting a Black Friday prop wager, such on an anytime touchdown, is a smart move if you want to participate in the action but are worried about the Chiefs winning but not covering the near-two-touchdown spread.
Here are my top five picks for the Week 13 Black Friday NFL game: Raiders vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown props.
Raiders vs Chiefs Anytime Touchdown Picks for Week 13
Here are my top five picks for the Week 13 Black Friday NFL game: Raiders vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown props.
Kareem Hunt Anytime Touchdown (+100)
Where: Sportsbook DraftKings
Why: With five touchdowns, all of which came on the ground and from within six yards, Hunt leads the Chiefs in touchdowns. Isiah Pacheco, Hunt’s star rushing back, has been out with an ankle ailment, but he is expected to return against Las Vegas, which may limit Hunt’s carrying ability.
Hunt has, however, consistently been a short-yardage option close to the goal line, particularly during the last five seasons when he and Nick Chubb shared time with the Cleveland Browns. With Hunt vulturing at least one score from inside the 5-yard line, Pacheco might be the starting rusher.
At most PA sportsbooks, Pacheco’s anytime touchdown odds are in some way higher. However, since Hunt’s robust style allows for little yardage and DraftKings offers even money chances for him to find pay dirt, it makes sense to bet on him to hit the end zone.
Place your bet now: Kareem Hunt Touchdown Anytime (+100)
Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown (+125)
Where: Sportsbook Bet365
Why: With 12 touchdowns in 21 games against the Oakland/Las Vegas team, Kelce has crushed the Raiders during his long career. With 569 yards, he leads the Chiefs in receiving this season. However, in 2024, Kelce has only reached pay dirt twice, both of which have occurred in the last five games.
With two red-zone touchdowns, rookie Xavier Worthy and No. 2 tight end Noah Gray actually share the team lead in touchdowns (4). The Chiefs also use shovel passes and other high-percentage, run-like plays for the All-Pro tight end close to the goal line, but Kelce can score from anywhere on the field since his catch-and-run ability has been a factor for years.
When in doubt, pick Kelce to score, especially against the Raiders, even if Gray’s odds are much more profitable.
Bet now: Travis Kelce Touchdown at Any Time (+125)
Ameer Abdullah Anytime Touchdown (+260)
Where: Sportsbook DraftKings
Why: Tre Tucker was also limited due to a hip ailment, and Alexander Mattison is also doubtful to play in Kansas City on Friday. As a result, Abdullah may once again be the starting back in Kansas City.
With touchdowns from quarterback Gardner Minshew II against Miami and Denver, Abdullah has scored in back-to-back games. Even though Kansas City has the third-ranked run defense, Abdullah should see a lot of action again because Minshew will not be playing and Aidan O. Connell will be substituting against the Chiefs.
The Chiefs have not given up a touchdown on the run in three consecutive games, but they have given up nine rushing touchdowns. The Chiefs have given up 15 touchdowns through the air this season, and Abdullah has been more of a threat in the passing game even if Tucker and/or Mattison are back for the game.
Place your bet now: Ameer Abdullah Touchdown at Any Time (+260)
DeAndre Hopkins Anytime Touchdown (+220)
For example, Caesars Sportsbook
Why: Since Rashee Rice’s season-ending knee injury, Hopkins has been exactly what the Chiefs’ doctor ordered. In just five games after the Chiefs acquired the veteran Hopkins from the Tennessee Titans, he has already scored three receiving touchdowns.
However, because all three of Hopkins’ scores have come from within five yards, he has been a threat close to the goal line, just like Gray. On Sunday, he caught a three-yard touchdown pass against the Panthers.
Worthy is a threat in big plays for the Chiefs, and Kelce usually scores on mid-range throwing attempts. However, given Kansas City’s ability to outscore an outmatched opponent, Hopkins’ 3–7 yard pass seems quite likely to score, especially with his signature footwork close to the boundary.
Place your bet now: DeAndre Hopkins Touchdown at Any Time (+220)
Brock Bowers Anytime Touchdown (+250)
For example, Caesars Sportsbook
Why: Despite being one of the few bright spots for the Las Vegas offense this season, Bowers’ two-game touchdown streak was ended Sunday against the Broncos. With those two scores over the last three games, Bowers leads Las Vegas with 744 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
In the team’s first meeting, Bowers had five catches for 58 yards but failed to score a touchdown, giving wide receivers DJ Turner and Jakobi Meyers the opportunity to score. However, without a real number one wide receiver and facing the two-time defending champions on the road in a hostile environment, Ridder is expected to rely on his massive tight end, whose 6-4, 230-pound physique greatly outweighs that of any other Las Vegas receiver.
I therefore enjoy placing bets on Bowers to uncover pay dirt, particularly at these extremely favorable odds.
Bet now: Brock Bowers Touchdown at Any Time (+250)
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