In the first-ever NFL broadcast on Netflix, Kansas City will travel to Pittsburgh for a Christmas matchup with the Steelers. Sports bettors nationwide are ecstatic about this AFC game, which is expected to draw enormous crowds.
See here for the leading Pennsylvania sportsbooks’ anytime TD bets.
Best anytime TD bets for Chiefs vs. Steelers
FanDuel: Najee Harris anytime TD (+155)
Caesars: Travis Kelce anytime TD (+180)
DraftKings: Isiah Pacheco anytime TD (+160)
FanDuel: Pat Freiermuth anytime TD (+370)
Caesars’ Noah Gray anytime TD (+550)
Najee Harris Anytime Touchdown (+155)
FanDuel Sportsbook is where
Why: Over their first 15 games, the Chiefs are giving up almost one rushing touchdown each game despite only allowing 91.4 running yards per game.
Despite Jaylen Warren playing a significant role, Najee Harris is the Steelers’ go-to back in goal-to-go situations, as evidenced by his five rushing scores this season, four of which came from inside 10 yards.
On Christmas Day, scoring will probably be difficult due to Pittsburgh’s two top defenses and the possibility of chilly, rainy weather. It would be prudent for Arthur Smith to go back to fundamentals by depending on the rushing game with Harris, given the Steelers have only scored 30 points in total over the last two weeks.
Pittsburgh’s featured back may find the end zone under the favorable circumstances created by this game script.
Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown (+185)
For example, Caesars Sportsbook
Why: The Steelers rank 21st in air yards allowed per game and are strong against the run but have had trouble defending the pass. Pittsburgh allowed tight ends to score not one, but two touchdowns in their 34-17 loss to the Ravens on Sunday. Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely both found the end zone.
Travis Kelce hasn’t scored in the last six games and has only two receiving touchdowns. But since it’s his time of year and quarterback Patrick Mahomes doesn’t appear to be limited by a high-ankle injury, Kelce has a strong chance of scoring close to the goal line, possibly with a shovel ball.
Isiah Pacheco Anytime Touchdown (+160)
Where: Sportsbook DraftKings
Why: Despite their stinginess, particularly against the run, the Steelers still give up roughly one rushing score every week on average.
Because of his ten missed games due to a fractured leg, Isiah Pacheco has only scored one rushing touchdown this season. He and Kareem Hunt have been sharing carries all over the field, but Pacheco is due for his second touchdown, as he averages one every 2.5 games, and he has seven career one-yard-out touchdowns.
Given that Pacheco’s odds are as good as +160 at some bookmakers, it makes sense to wager on the possibility that he will cross the goal line at these prices.
Pat Freiermuth Anytime Touchdown (+370)
FanDuel Sportsbook is where
Why: Steve Spagnuolo, the defensive coordinator for the Chiefs, is skilled at limiting the opponent’s best passing options, especially by applying pressure to the quarterback.
Despite frequently playing from ahead in the game script, the Chiefs have only given up one more passing touchdown (20) than the Steelers this season, tying for 12th place in that category and 17th in passing yards allowed per game (215.8).
In the passing game, quarterback Russell Wilson’s diverse weapon is Pat Freiermuth. As seen by his team-high six touchdowns, he is the best option in goal-line situations and plays well in the middle of the field on short and intermediate routes.
Freiermuth is even more important now that George Pickens, the top wide receiver, is injured and might not be able to play. Freiermuth has scored two touchdowns from more than 20 yards out and four from within 10 yards, but Calvin Austin III has shown himself to be a deep danger.
In addition, he has been scoring a lot lately, scoring four touchdowns in the last seven games and finding the end zone in three of the last four.
Noah Gray Anytime Touchdown (+600)
For example, Caesars Sportsbook
Why: Refer to the section above on Travis Kelce. Once more, Pittsburgh has had trouble covering tight ends this season, as Gray is tied for the team lead in receiving touchdowns (5).
This season, tight ends like Likely and Andrews have accounted for six of Pittsburgh’s 19 throwing touchdowns.
Additionally, Gray’s rise as a red-zone target is directly related to Kelce’s difficulties finding the end zone. Kelce attracts a lot of opponents, which creates room for the No. 2 tight end.
In addition to Kelce, there is Justin Watson (1 TD, +1300), Xavier Worthy (8 TDs, +250), and DeAndre Hopkins (4 TDs, +280) to contend with as Andy Reid and Matt Nagy continue to dial up inventive concepts in the red zone.
However, Gray is the most likely choice if Mahomes throws a touchdown to someone other than Kelce. Even with a little sprinkle, it is imperative to target Gray at these odds, which yield a $5.50 profit each dollar gambled.
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