An AFC West rivalry game in the Midwest marks the end of the NFL’s Week 14 Sunday schedule. In a game with playoff ramifications, the Kansas City Chiefs (11-1, 5-7 ATS) take on the Los Angeles Chargers (8-4, 8-4 ATS).
Although the Chiefs lead the AFC conference going into Week 14, Kansas City can’t afford to lose right now because they are still one game ahead of Buffalo and the Bills have the tiebreaker between the two teams. This season, the Chiefs have been strong on defense but inconsistent on offense. The team has managed to win close games, such as a Week 4 triumph over the Chargers by a single score.
Los Angeles leads the AFC in Wild Card standings going into Week 14, but they lost their best running back, J.K. Dobbins, to injury recently, and their defense had to record four interceptions to defeat the Falcons last week. The Chargers have dropped six straight games against Kansas City, so they will need to play similarly defensively if they hope to pull off the upset win. Losing may push LA down to the seventh seed in the AFC.
It should come as no surprise that Pennsylvania’s top sportsbooks support the home team in this game, and there are many chances for bettors who want to place an Anytime Touchdown prop wager on this Sunday night football game.
Isiah Pacheco anytime TD (+115)
FanDuel Sportsbook is where
Why: The game plan called for Pacheco to be gradually introduced after his injury recovery last week. that he was. With a respectable 6.3 yards per carry average, the third-year running back led the team in rushing yards (44) despite seeing just seven carries and one passing target. Pacheco’s output unmistakably suggests a higher roll down the stretch, even if Kareem Hunt still received seven carries of his own and an unexpected four passing targets.
In Week 14, he takes on the powerful Los Angeles run defense, which has given up a league-low three rushing touchdowns to running backs. Nevertheless, Pacheco missed the game because of injury, and Samaje Perine slammed one in on the ground to score one of his rushing touchdowns against Kansas City in Week 4.
Despite playing in just three games this season, Pacheco has over the 0.5 anytime touchdown prop in eight of his previous 11 outings. It helps that Patrick Mahomes has found him to be a dependable target in the passing game.
Pacheco should have plenty of opportunities in this game, as the Chargers rank 12th in terms of opponent rushing attempts per game (25.8). With 11 rushing touchdowns going into the game, the Chiefs are tied for 15th place in the league this year.
You can wager on Isiah Pacheco at any time TD (+115).
Travis Kelce anytime TD (+135)
Where: Sportsbook BetMGM
Why: Despite the changing group of receivers surrounding him, Travis Kelce is still Patrick Mahomes’ preferred target in the passing game. With 13 different players scoring touchdowns so far this season, the Chiefs have spread the ball around more than other teams, whether it’s because of injuries or aging-related slow play. Kelce is Mahomes’ most crucial outlet, even though he doesn’t lead his position group in catches.
Based on past performance, one could argue that Kelce, who has only scored two touchdowns this season, deserves a few more. That argument would be supported by the fact that Kelce is still Mahomes’ most targeted throw receiver in the red zone, particularly when facing a Chargers unit that has only given up one receiving score in 2024.
Although he has only converted two of his 18 red zone targets this season, Kelce leads all tight ends in that category. The game plan includes plays to get Kelce touches outside of straight passes because the seasoned tight end has only seen one rushing attempt in the red zone. Since Week 7, Kelce has surpassed all other players in total targets (70).
Including five of his last nine games against the Bolts, Kelce has scored nine touchdowns in his 19 career games against the Chargers.
Put your money down now: Travis Kelce at any time TD (+135)
Gus Edwards anytime TD (+160)
Where: Sportsbook Bet365
Why: After J.K. Dobbins suffered a knee injury against the Baltimore Ravens, Gus Edwards assumed the lead back position in Los Angeles. Because of his time in Baltimore under offensive coordinator Greg Roman, Edwards is quite familiar with the Chargers offense’s RB1 role, which was created after Dobbins was placed on the injured list.
In Week 13, Edwards and Kimani Vidal faced off for carries, although Edwards had more touches overall (8) than the rookie. Although Edwards has more experience and is still the more potent runner, Vidal is the more explosive of the two backs.
Despite only scoring one running touchdown this season, Edwards recently finished a 2023 campaign in which he hit the end zone 13 times, including in three of the final four regular season games. Last season, he completed eight of nine goalline attempts, which could help the Chargers in the last stretch of the season.
The Chiefs, who rank in the top 10 on most metrics, have been strong against the run all season. Three of the six rushing touchdowns that Kansas City has given up to running backs this season have occurred in the last four weeks.
Place your wager now: Gus Edwards at any time TD (+160).
Ladd McConkey anytime TD (+175)
Where: Sportsbook DraftKings
Why: In passing situations, Ladd McConkey has been Justin Herbert’s go-to target. Taking over the WR1 position left empty by Keenan Allen, the rookie has been a revelation for the Chargers this season. In terms of targets (81), receptions (58), receiving yards (815), and receiving touchdowns (4), he outpaces LA pass catchers.
After the Chargers offense shifted to a passing game due to Dobbins’ injury, McConkey emerged as the mainstay of the strategy last week, recording a career-high 12 targets. With 57 targets since Week 6, he is only two targets away from the top seven and tied for 11th place among all wide receivers.
In Week 4, McConkey had some success against the Kansas City secondary, which he now confronts. In that one, the rookie caught five passes for 67 yards and a touchdown. Kansas City has given up the second-most touchdowns to wide receivers over the past four weeks (5), and the Chiefs enter tied for the eighth-most touchdowns given to opposition wide receivers (13).
In terms of red zone targets (6) and red zone touchdowns (3), McConkey leads the Chargers. Kansas City gave up the sixth-highest number of red zone targets (19) and the fifth-highest number of red zone touchdowns to wide outs (6). Raiders quarterback Aidan O. Connell threw for 340 yards and two touchdowns last week, demonstrating how difficult it has been for the Chiefs secondary to slow down opponent passing attacks since the loss of CB Jaylen Watson.
You can wager on Ladd McConkey at any time TD (+175).
Noah Gray anytime TD (+375)
For example, Caesars Sportsbook
Why: Noah Gray, a fourth-year pro out of Duke, may be Kansas City’s second tight end, but he has established himself as a key component of the Chiefs’ passing game. With four touchdown receptions in the last three weeks, Gray and wide receiver Xavier Worthy share the team-high total.
This season, Patrick Mahomes has distributed the wealth in the passing game by hitting nine different receivers for a touchdown, but Gray has recently become a crucial target. Gray must navigate open areas over the middle or deal with slower single coverage as most teams concentrate on slowing Travis Kelce and DeAndre Hopkins.
In Week 4, Gray had plenty of space to work against the Chargers, hauling in 40 yards from each of the four targets he was dealt. Gary has seen 15 targets, made 12 catches, and scored four goals in Kansas City’s last three games. In two of the previous three weeks, Gray’s performance has been profitable for anytime TD prop bettors at Pennsylvania’s leading sportsbooks.
With at least five targets this season, Gray has been the Chiefs’ most effective red zone pass receiver. He s catch six of seven red zone targets, converting three of those into scores. The Chargers defense, which gives up 1.2 passing touchdowns per game (14 total), is ranked tenth in the league.
Place your wager now: Noah Gray at any time TD (+375).
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