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Packers vs. Lions betting preview
With 11 guys in the front seven, including linebackers, defensive tackles, and edge rushers, the Lions are suffering from an absurd number of ailments.
The Packers are 9-3 and in third place in the NFC North, while the Lions are 11-1 and in the lead.
The Lions defeated them 24–14 in their prior matchup this season. The Lions have won ten games in a row, while the Packers have won three.
Anytime Touchdown prop bets are one of my favorite betting markets, even though betting on the moneyline, total, or even point spread is one of the most popular.
Best TD scorer prop bets for Thursday Night Football
See below for the best 5 anytime TD scorer wagers you ought to place.
Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD (-163)
Where: Sportsbook Bet365
Why: It is rather predictable to look at possible Lions touchdown scorers. They have 21 rushing touchdowns between running backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs.
Over the past three games, the Packers have given up three runs to a running back. Gibbs had 11 carries for 65 yards and a touchdown in the previous game.
Five of the previous seven games have seen Gibbs score. He has twice had 19 carries or more in the last four games.
Every week, one of the Lions’ running backs will almost certainly score, and I believe it will be Gibbs.
Place a wager now: Jahmyr Gibbs at any time TD (63)
Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime TD (-105)
Where: Sportsbook DraftKings
Why: Jaire Alexander is the main casualty among the Packers’ numerous cornerback ailments. Nevertheless, St. Brown mostly uses the position to play. He is going to face Javon Bullard. He has given up 34 receptions on 43 targets for 357 yards in 381 coverage snaps. Despite only giving up one touchdown, he has caught more than 79% of the targets thrown to him. St. Brown caught seven passes and scored in their most recent game. Keisean Nixon was the opponent of the touchdown. Nixon and Carrington Valentine will be the opponents of St. Brown when he lines up outside. Valentine has only played 156 covering snaps this season, and Nixon has given up five touchdowns. However, Valentine has given up 10 catches on 13 targets in those 156 coverage snaps.
St. Brown ought to perform well against a few mediocre cornerbacks.
Put your money down now: Amon-Ra St. Brown at any time TD (+160).
Sam LaPorta anytime TD (+240)
FanDuel Sportsbook is where
Why: My favorite wager on this list thus far is LaPorta at +240 to score a touchdown, which is available at FanDuel, one of the top Pennsylvania sportsbooks.
This season, LaPorta has struggled with injuries and hasn’t been nearly as effective as he was a year ago. He has caught 31 passes for 391 yards and five touchdowns so far. But now, he’s really begun to get more involved. In three consecutive games, he has seen six targets and scored three touchdowns.
Shoot, even if he just received six yards last week, he scored twice.
He will play for a Packers club that gives up six receptions for 63 yards per game. Only four touchdowns have been given up by them, and that one came as recently as Week 12.
Here’s where I’ll risk LaPorta once more.
Place your wager now: Sam LaPorta at any time TD (+240).
Lions D/ST anytime TD (+550)
For example, Caesars Sportsbook
Why: Although there is precedent before, I wouldn’t bet nearly a full unit on this one. Lions defensive back Kerby Joseph was hit by a pick-six from Packers quarterback Jordan Love during their most recent encounter. It’s not like Love has stopped making interceptions since then. He is tied for third place in the NFL with 11 this season. Additionally, the Lions intercept 1.17 passes per game on average.
Place your wager now: Lions D/ST at any time TD (+550).
Brock Wright anytime TD (+1000)
Where: Sportsbook BetMGM
Why: To delve even further, you might want to look at Brock Wright, the Lions’ backup tight end. He isn’t utilized that much, yes. This season, he has only caught 13 passes on 15 targets for 100 yards, but he has scored two touchdowns. One of the two touchdowns has been inside the five-yard line, and both have been inside the 10-yard line.
The Lions have scored touchdowns 71.43% of the time they have been in the red zone during the last three games. That percentage, at 66%, is fourth-best for the season.
The Packers do let tight ends to produce more in the form of receptions and yards, but they also have the 13th-worst opponent red zone scoring percentage in the league (58.97%).
Hey, it’s a backup tight end who is somewhat of a Haily Mary at +1000.
Now place your bet: Brock Wright at any time TD (+1000).
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