The NFL’s Week 16 schedule concludes at Lambeau Field with a crucial conference matchup. In an attempt to maintain its place in the NFC postseason race, the Green Bay Packers (10-4, 8-6 ATS) take on the New Orleans Saints (5-9, 6-8 ATS).
The Saints have extremely long odds of making the playoffs. While the Bucs and Falcons both finish the season without a victory, New Orleans’ best chance to qualify for the postseason is to win their final three games.
Best prop bets for Saints vs. Packers on Monday Night Football
Spencer Rattler under 175.5 passing yards (-113)
FanDuel Sportsbook is where
Why: Since Derek Carr is out due to a fractured non-throwing hand, Spencer Rattler fills in under center for New Orleans. In five games, the rookie signal-caller has thrown for more than 700 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, demonstrating a respectable level of effectiveness for the Saints.
Rattler is hitting on 57.5 percent of passes (69-for-120), which is a disappointing completion percentage. On the road, he has been less productive, completing only 50% of passes (12-for-24). The Packers have a strong pass defense and give up 215.4 passing yards per game, which Rattler must contend with.
The Packers enter tied for seventh place with 14 passes intercepted. Green Bay’s defense has the fourth-best interception rate in the league at 3.0%. The rookie quarterback, who has been fired ten times in 140 dropbacks, will be under pressure from the Packers.
In two of his three starts so far this season, Rattler was under his passing yards prop.
Jordan Love over 231.5 passing yards (-117)
For example, Caesars Sportsbook
Why: Over the past five weeks, Love has led the Packers to an outstanding run. With the lone loss occurring in Detroit and by a just three points, the veteran has contributed to Green Bay’s 4-1 record during that time. In four of the five starts, the quarterback completed at least 60% of the passes.
On the majority of those Saturdays, bettors at Pennsylvania’s best sportsbooks have been pleased with Love’s passing yard prop at home. In five of his seven games at Lambeau this season, Love has accumulated more than 230 throwing yards. When you include in his performance from the previous season, Love has hit the over for this passing prop eleven times.
The Saints secondary he faces has had a rough season. So far this season, New Orleans has given up 3,616 passing yards, which is the fifth-highest total in the NFL. The Saints give up 11.7 yards per completion (sixth-most) and more over seven yards per attempt.
New Orleans has the fifth-highest passing yard average in the NFL, allowing opposing quarterbacks to average 242.2 yards per game.
Josh Jacobs over 90.5 rushing yards (-115)
Where: Sportsbook DraftKings
Why: One of the league’s most effective running backs this season, Josh Jacobs enters this game. Jacobs led the league in running yards (1,147), rushing touchdowns (12), and rushing yards per game (81.9) going into Week 16. He has played a significant role in Green Bay’s ground game ranking fourth in the NFL.
Jacobs is a regular component of the Packers’ game plan and has rushed for more than 88.5 yards in four of his last seven games. On 50.1 percent of offensive snaps, Green Bay rushes the ball, which is the second-highest percentage this season. The New Orleans defense he faces gives up 5.2 yards per carry, which is tied for the lowest amount in the league.
This season, the Saints have given up the tenth-highest number of rushing yards to running backs (1,468).
In five of its last six games, New Orleans has let opponent running backs surpass their rushing yards prop.
In this game, Jacobs, who leads the league in first-half rushing yards (688), might face a similar level of emphasis.
Tucker Kraft over 33.5 receiving yards (-113)
FanDuel Sportsbook is where
For what reason? Tucker Although Kraft’s sophomore season has been mixed, the second-year tight end has been a consistent component of the Packers’ strategy this year and should be included again in this one. Kraft comes in with 179 receiving yards from his last four games, 13 catches on 16 targets.
When given the chance, Green Bay tight ends have performed well this season. This season, the Packers’ tight ends have amassed 621 receiving yards on 51 receptions, with Kraft accounting for the majority of that total. The Saints defense, which he will be facing, has had trouble holding opponents at that position.
The Saints have the fourth-highest rate in the league, giving up 11.3 yards per reception to opposition tight ends this season. With 756 receiving yards given up to tight ends, New Orleans ranks 13th in the NFL. The Saints have allowed opposing tight ends to go over their receiving yards prop in four of their last five games.
Kraft has gone over 33.5 receiving yards in five of his last seven games, including in each of his last three.
Jordan Love under 0.5 interceptions (-127)
Where: Sportsbook BetRivers
Why: Jordan Love had a bit of a turnover issue at the beginning of the season. The fifth-year signal caller threw 11 interceptions through the first eight weeks of the season, leading the league in that category. But since then, Love has cleaned up his approach and has not tossed one to the other team.
Over his last four starts, Love registered seven passing touchdowns and no interceptions. He threw at least 20 passing attempts in each of those ballgames, so it s clear his decision-making has improved and the game plan has shifted to more efficient throws.
Love faces a Saints secondary that s nabbed 13 interceptions this season, tied for eighth-most, with an INT rate of 2.6 percent, the 11th-best percentage in the league. That said, the Saints have only picked off one pass over the last four weeks.
Love has gone under 0.5 interceptions thrown in four straight games. He did throw an interception versus the Saints last season, but Love made 44 pass attempts in that ballgame.
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